More than a decade since its creation, “John Wick” could be the most improbable franchise of a billion dollars in the modern era. The first fucked film with a vod before it drew a theatrical release, becoming a modest success. The series then exploded in popularity when “John Wick: Chapter 2” was released. The rest is the story of the action film. Now Lionsgate hopes to keep this gear train in the right direction with a new spin-off in the form of “ballerina”, “alias” of the world of John Wick: Ballerina “. The question is as follows: can this spin-off make Mr. Wick’s good reputation in a significant success at the box office?

In the current state of things, the “ballerina” of director Len Wiseman plans a national start in the range of $ 33 to $ 39 million upon arrival next weekend, by Box office theory. It is almost completely online with the previous monitoring numbers, which brought between $ 35 and $ 40 million (via Deadline). Please note, the films “John Wick” worked very well abroad, so international ticket sales will be a major factor here. On paper, this is a solid start, but it will be one of these “marathon and not sprint” situations.

An opening in this range would put the last of Lionsgate above “John Wick: Chapter 2” (opening of $ 30.4 million / $ 174.3 million worldwide) and less “chapter 3” (opening of $ 56.8 million / 328.3 million dollars worldwide). The problem is that the “ballerina” costs a little more than these two films, the budget which was in the range of $ 90 million. This means that he must get closer to the “chapter 3” money on a global scale to justify his existence.

The film focuses on Eve Macarro (Ana de Armas) – a ballerina that has become a second -hand for the traditions of Roma Ruska – while seeking to take revenge on the death of her father. The cast also includes Anjelica Huston, Gabriel Byrne, Lance Reddick, Catalina Sandino Moreno, Norman Reedus and Ian Mcshane. Rather crucial, Keanu Reeves resumes his role as John Wick, who was leaning over the film’s trailers.

Originally, Lionsgate had not planned that it was such an expensive company, but things did not go as planned. “Ballerina” has undergone very expensive and extended reshuffles Under the direction of Chad Stahelski, who made the four films “John Wick”. Thus, while Wiseman, known best for his work on the “Underworld” franchise, is the credited director, it is a mixture of his work and Stahelski on the screen.

This can ultimately prove to be a judicious investment on the part of Lionsgate, Like the first “ballerina” reactions were largely positive. That said, there was a certain controversy concerning the management by Lionsgate of the embargo on social networks, the “critical” reactions received a subsequent embargo date that “enthusiasm without spoiler”. If the studio has managed to create a real pleasure of the crowd, this film can always reach the figures it must strike, but it will have to drag beyond the opening weekend to do it.

It could be delicate, while “Ballerina” arrives in the middle of a filled summer season. The live action “How to Train Your Dragon” opens the following weekend, with “28 years later” and “Elio” of Pixar on the bridge on June 20. After that, we get “F1” and “M3gan 2.0”, with the mastodon which is “Jurassic World Rebirth” launching July. All these films will fight for oxygen.

In the meantime, Lionsgate has plans for “John Wick 5” and several other fallout As they seek to build the cinematic universe John Wick. They really need this one to work, because if they can make a film work in this universe without reeves in the main role, they could really have something. Otherwise? Their options could be much more limited in the future.

“Ballerina” will be released in theaters on June 6, 2025.